On the earnings front, Wall Street will go quiet for a week--call it the calm before the earnings storm.
There's been a record amount of profit warnings so far, with more to come. According to Chuck Hill, First Call's director of research, this week will be the second peak of three peak weeks for profit warnings and earnings pre-announcements.
"The estimates are now clearly in free fall for all four quarters of 2001 for the S&P500 tech sector earnings," Hill said. "The rate of decline has decelerated slightly for the first quarter and second quarter, but could reaccelerate as we move into the peak weeks for pre-announcements."
Analysts are busy trying to guess which companies will issue profit warnings. Leading candidates include enterprise software companies, which rely on end-of-quarter sales to meet expectations.
One company expected to fall short of expectations is business-to-business player Ariba. "We put a fairly high probability that (Ariba) will miss first-quarter estimates," said Robinson-Humphrey analyst Christopher Rowen. "Furthermore, we believe Ariba's problems go beyond a simple downturn in the economy. Our contacts in the consulting world indicate that troubled implementations and slackening demand for indirect procurement could lead to lasting problems for Ariba."
Switching gears from the earnings gloom to dot-com doom, Goldman Sachs also kicks off its Second Annual Internet New Media and e-Commerce Conference in Las Vegas. Headliners at the conference include: AOL Time Warner Chief Operating Officer Bob Pittman, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos and eBay CEO Meg Whitman. They'll be discussing online travel, online advertising and other hot topics.
Other events scheduled this week:
- iWireless World takes place
at the Beverly Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, Calif. April 2-4. The conference will focus on providing content in the wireless medium. Speakers
will include Qualcomm Executive Vice President Paul Jacobs, InfoSpace
Chairman Naveem Jain, and Ericsson Director of Business Development Tapio
- Forrester will host eBusiness
Technologies: Turning Vision Into Reality at the Phoenician resort,
Scottsdale, Ariz., April 2-3, a conference for Internet executives that will
concentrate on trends in the business-to-business e-commerce industry.
Featured speakers: Earnest Deavenport, CEO of Eastman Chemical; Greg Peters,
CEO of Vignette; Thomas Siebel, CEO of Siebel Systems; and Sam Gillard,
Chief Marketing Officer of Sabre.
- eTravel World will host a conference on how technology effects
the leisure travel industry. The event takes place at the Marriott Marquis
in New York City, April 2-4, and keynote speakers include Carl Yankowski,
CEO of Palm.
- The Institute for International Research will lead a seminar at the Metropolitan Pavilion in New York City, April
2-3. The event is for marketing executives interested in learning how to
measure the effectiveness of online advertising.
- Gartner's Internet and
eBusiness conference will take place at the Jacob K. Javits Convention
Center in New York City, April 2-4. The gathering is for companies intent on
refining their strategy for doing business on the Internet. Keynote
speakers: Michael Robertson, CEO of MP3.com; Mark Walsh, Chairman of
VerticalNet; C. Edward McVaney CEO of J.D. Edwards; Keith Krach, CEO of
Ariba; Dawn Gould Lepore, CIO of Charles Schwab.
- The Forbes Presidents
Forum will take place at the Park Plaza Hotel in Boston, Mass., April
2-4. The event provides a forum for executives of small companies to learn
about and discuss trends in economy and business. Speakers include
Linnet Deily, Vice Chairman of Charles Schwab and Daniel Donoghue, Managing
Director, Mergers and Acquisitions, at U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffray
- Federal Reserve Governor Edward Gramlich takes part in a panel discussion
on social security reform at Washington and Lee University, School of Law. 9
Comdex Chicago 2001 will take place at the McCormick Place in Chicago,
Ill., April 2-5. The conference is geared towards IT professionals and
features exhibits of various technology products. Keynote speakers include
Larry Augustin, CEO of VA Linux Systems; Brian Halla, CEO of National
Semiconductor; David Peterschmidt, CEO of Inktomi; Sean Maloney, Executive
Vice President at Intel; and Larry Kramer, CEO of CBS MarketWatch. Also
taking place at Comdex will be the Linux
Business Expo and the ASP Summit.
- Goldman Sachs will conduct the Internet New Media and eCommerce
conference in Las Vegas, Nev., April 2-4. The conference will address the
major strategic challenges that Internet companies face in an industry that
has changed significantly during the past year. Featured speakers include
Amazon.com CEO Jeff Bezos, eBay CEO Meg Whitman, and Yahoo founder Jerry
- Business 2.0's Rules &
Tools conference will take place at the Millenium Broadway Hotel in New
York City, April 2-3. The event will focus on business strategies that work
in the Internet economy. Featured speakers include Scott Cook, chairman of
Intuit and David Becker, COO of FreeMarkets.
Tuesday, April 3
- Salomon Smith Barney and Broadcasting and Cable Magazine will kick off
The Big Picture at the Grand Hyatt
Hotel in New York City on April 3, a conference that will discuss the future
of media. Keynote speakers will include Michael Powell, Chairman, Federal
Communications Commission and Robert Rubin, Chairman of Citigroup. Other
speakers: Stephen Case, Chairman of AOL Time Warner and Gerald Levin, CEO of
AOL Time Warner
- The Federal Trade Commission and Department of Commerce will conduct a
workshop on the use of electronic signatures, 8:30 am-5 pm on April 3 at
the Federal Trade Commission, 600 Pennsylvania Avenue, Washington, D.C.
Wednesday, April 4
- Internet World will hold ISPCON Spring 2001 at the
Baltimore Convention Center in Baltimore, Md., April 4-6. The event is
tailored for Internet service providers and features speeches by Greg
Maffei, CEO of 360networks and Jerry Parrick, CEO of Yipes Communications.
- The Advanced Learning Institute will run a conference on online lending in Atlanta, Ga., April 4-6. The event is for bank executives
interested in growing their loan businesses on the Internet.
Thursday, April 5
- The Satellite Broadcasting and Communications Association will hold SkyFORUM at the Marriott
Marquis in New York City, April 5. The event will address trends in the
satellite industry. Featured speakers: Rupert Murdoch, Chairman and CEO of
News Corp., and HBO/NBC broadcaster Bob Costas.
- Accenture and Women.future will host MainEvent
2001 at the Sony Recording Studios in New York City, April 5. The
gathering aims to bring together top women executives to discuss issues
related to the advancement of women in large global corporations. Keynote
speakers include Ellen Hancock, CEO of Exodus Communications.
Monday, April 2
- Adelphia Communications provides TV service and
Internet access over cable lines. Per-share consensus estimate for the
fourth quarter: loss of $1.02.
- Adelphia Business Solutions operates a fiber-optic
network that provides phone service, Internet access and data services.
Per-share consensus estimate for the fourth quarter: loss of $1.39.
- Circuit City is a chain of retail stores that sells
consumer electronic products. Per-share consensus estimate for the fiscal
fourth quarter: profit of 46 cents.
- UnitedGlobalCom provides cable TV service as well as
Internet access and phone service. Per-share consensus estimate for the
fourth quarter: loss of $3.20.
- Best Buy is a chain of retail stores that sells
consumer electronic products. Per-share consensus estimate for the fiscal
fourth quarter: profit of 82 cents.
- Cognos makes business software that handles data.
Per-share consensus estimate for the fiscal fourth quarter: profit of 25
Monday, April 2
spending for February tabulates the dollar amount of newly completed
structures as reported by the Commerce Department. In January, spending
increased 1.5 percent from the previous month.
- The National Association of Purchasing Managers index tracks how
many hard goods were purchased by purchasing managers. The NAPM index
increased to 41.9 percent in February from January's 41.2 percent.
Economists interpret index values above 50 as a sign of an expanding
economy, while an index below 50 indicates contraction.
Non-manufacturing NAPM index tracks how many hard goods were bought
monthly by purchasing managers in the services industry. The
Non-manufacturing index rose to 51.7 in February from 50.1 in January.
Claims refers to the number of people who filed for unemployment
benefits each week as reported by the Department of Labor. Claims will be
reported for the week ending March 31.
earnings is the percentage change in hourly earnings in the private
sector as estimated monthly by the Labor Department. In February, earnings
increased by 0.5 percent.
- Average workweek for March is the average amount of hours worked
per week in the private sector, as estimated monthly by the Labor
Department. Last month, the amount of hours dipped 0.1 hours to 34.2.
- Unemployment rate for March is the percentage of unemployed
adults, as estimated monthly by the Labor Department. In February, the
unemployment rate held at 4.2 percent, the same as the previous month.
- Nonfarm Payrolls represents the change in total non-farm
employment. Last month, the payrolls increased by 135,000 non-farm workers
compared to January's increase of 268,000.
- Wholesale Inventories represents the percentage change in the
amount of goods in wholesale inventories in the United States. Inventories
fell 0.3 percent in February from the prior month.
Larry Dignan contributed to this report.