The contest has pitted Intel against three of its biggest chip customers: Hewlett-Packard, IBM, and Compaq. At stake is the future design of servers--the high-speed, high-end computers that are the brains behind the Internet and most other networks.
The Intel camp, along with allies including Dell and Sun Microsystems, favored a standard called Next-Generation Input/Output, or NGIO. HP, IBM, and Compaq initiated Future I/O, and rounded up support from 3Com, Adaptec, and Cisco. The specifications govern how equipment such as network cards or disk systems plug into the servers.
"The two specs are going to merge," a source familiar with the negotiations said today. The companies involved will choose a new name for the standard and plan to have the technology ready in time for "McKinley," the second in Intel's line of 64-bit chips.
A merger would lift a huge burden of uncertainty from all the companies involved. Moving into the high end of the market is a key part of Intel's plans, but it would be much more difficult without the support of HP, Compaq, and IBM, all of whom already sell their own high-end proprietary systems.
And for the server makers, a single standard brings the advantages of the Intel business model, where standardization means components ship in higher volumes and therefore cost less.
The lead negotiators from the two sides, who have been meeting for months, have agreed on a proposal and will take it back to their respective camps so each side can vote, sources familiar with the issue said. A Future I/O Alliance vote could happen as soon as this week, but one source said Intel had hoped to delay the vote a little, likely so the company could announce the agreement at the Intel Developer Forum that begins August 31.
Members of the Future I/O Alliance will vote in favor of the merger plan, an industry source said.
Key dates in the server war
The struggle to set the next-generation server architecture standard has been going on for months.
|Nov. 11, 1998||Intel releases first details about NGIO.|
|Jan. 7, 1999||Intel announces that Dell, Sun, and others have joined the NGIO Forum.|
|Jan. 13, 1999||Compaq, IBM, and Hewlett-Packard announce Future I/O, without Intel support.|
|Feb. 11, 1999||The two camps discuss plans to resolve the dispute; a Future I/O representative predicts resolution before the technology hits the market.|
|May 24, 1999||Legal obstacles are resolved, but technical issues block a merger. Future I/O announces its technology will use the same communication method as the Internet.|
|July 20, 1999||Version 1.0 of NGIO specification is announced.|
The biggest winners in a merged standard will be server customers, who will have one less technology choice they have to worry about; peripheral card manufacturers, who will have a simpler time designing products; and the server companies, who will have an easier time selling their products, Gruener said.
Both sides have been easing toward compromise for months but differences persisted. The Future I/O proponents argued that NGIO couldn't transfer data fast enough and therefore didn't merit the difficulties of a system design change. The NGIO camp said that Future I/O would arrive late and was too expensive, and that they were working on a faster, "fat pipes" version of NGIO to deal with the data transfer speed issue. Fat pipes refers to a faster way to transfer data from servers to components such as network cards.
The proposal resolves these technical concerns, as well as issues of how the companies will govern the standard and how they will handle the thorny issue of sharing intellectual property.
Sun Microsystems, which makes its own high-end servers and has been leading the fat pipes NGIO development, had pushed for an August deadline to merge the specifications, sources said.
Intel is in the driver's seat when it comes to the future server design, said Dataquest analyst Kimball Brown. Though the Future I/O camp had hoped to stall the process, the Intel camp was able to show it was moving ahead, he said.
Version 1.0 of NGIO was released in July, an event that provoked criticism from HP's Martin Whittaker of the Future I/O camp. Whittaker said the NGIO advocates said a revised version would be coming later, in essence admitting that the first version wasn't good enough.
In an interview earlier this month, a Sun executive, Charles Andres, declined to comment on the deadline but said: "To be pragmatic about this, if you're going to get a merge, it's better to try to get a merge to happen sooner rather than later. It gets more difficult as time goes on."
Andres said the Future I/O and the fat pipes version of NGIO were where the specifications would be merged.
"It very well may be the features and benefits in the Future I/O specification...would marry very nicely" with NGIO fat pipes, he said. Both use a similar number of wires connecting into and out of the input/output subsystem, he said.
"From a technical standpoint, a merge is very possible. We could stand to get a specification that has a lot of the good features of both," Andres said.
Representatives from NGIO declined to comment on specifics of negotiations, reiterating the position that they would like to see a single specification.