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Easier to predict stock market, march madness, or weather?

by shmody / March 25, 2009 5:58 AM PDT

Survey: Which is easiest to predict
a) Stock market (a.k.a. American business)
b) March Madness
c) the weather

Whichever one you select, you've probably considered the manner in which you'd obtain information and insight on each area. And you probably realize that it takes some effort to filter the news on the market, March Madness, or the weather to form your position.

With the above in mind, a follow up question:
Do you think CNBC, Fox Business news, Bloomberg, etc. are just like other sources of news in that you've gotta filter out what you don't find useful and just use what you do find useful and that figuring out what to filter take some practice?


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March madness will be easiest to deal with.

It will end by April. The weather and stock market will still be with us. Wink

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the weather is only a window away
by jonah jones / March 25, 2009 10:51 PM PDT

march madness may be hiding around a corner



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(NT) You're not helping. Shalin is trying to make a point.
by Dan McC / March 25, 2009 11:50 PM PDT
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(NT) clever, clever - but does that help *predict* or *tell* wthr
by shmody / March 26, 2009 4:40 AM PDT
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(bump) seriously...no one cares to answer the 2nd question?
by shmody / March 30, 2009 6:11 AM PDT

(bump) seriously...no one cares to answer the 2nd question?

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Will give it a shot

I think it's important, but often very difficult, to enter any listening session without built in filters. Listening skills are a challenge and reporters know what the weaknesses are. For one thing, it's quite natural for one's brain to begin thinking almost immediately after the opening lines of news read. What happens is the listening part of the brain begins to shut down and the thinking part goes into overdrive. Any opinions are formed very quickly based on the listeners initial reaction to the news piece. I said that reporters know of this listening weakness and will make sure the opening lines are carefully crafted to evoke the desired response. For the potential listener, it's important to be aware of this and to resist the urge shut down their ears. To be fair and open, you've got to forget the filters and, in fact, if you hear a biased report, make an effort to find one with the opposite bias. Don't we allow both the plaintiff and defendant in a court case both be heard before passing judgment? IMO, selecting a sole trusted news person or news organization as the only one worth attention is lost opportunity to continue one's brain development. Happy

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