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General discussion

2010 Predictions...

Dec 10, 2009 7:06AM PST

Open thread - Step right up and give it a whirl! Wink

Discussion is locked

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Ok
Dec 10, 2009 7:56AM PST

Apple tablet, iPhone or similar touchscreen OS with an ebook store.
Chrome OS will bomb, nobody wants to be stuck on web apps (except perhaps if they use a cybercafe only...)
Second dip of the recession will occur, so people will keep heading towards netbooks and smartphones.

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Here's my yearly go at it...
Dec 10, 2009 11:53AM PST

1. ATT's 3g coverage map will stay exactly the same. Luke Wilson on the other hand will age 20 years in 9 months out of grief.
2. Jason will add another monitor to the studio and will block his view of Tom. Regretfully, Jason will never see Tom again.
3. A Median Hadron Collider is built after the smaller version of the Large Hadron Collider that was built was just too small.
4. Apple releases brand new 4G iPhone to be used on AT&T's faster and more reliable 4G network......nah, not really, just a faster processor and more memory...and a cup holder.
5. Verizon hire Owen Wilson as their spokes person for their 3g network. They try to fix his nose, but fail miserably.
6. Twitter will not fail one time in 2010. Unfortunately, the twitter fad ended in 2009 and nobody really uses it anymore.
7. Mass voice/data carrier migration from AT&T to Verizon. Verizon's bandwidth chokes harder than the New Orlean Saints in the 2010 Super Bowl and collapses. Molly sings their praises throughout the year.
8. In an effort to meet it's 2012 deadline, Skynet adopts OSX as it's official operating system of choice.
9. Nintendo will finally get up off it's *** and make headway towards developing an HD Wii since most people have a decent HD television and they want their games to look halfway decent on the screen. Kwahhn also stops being bitter.
10. Hulu will destory itself. Kwahhn will start being bitter again.

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Way wrong...
Dec 22, 2010 1:45AM PST

on just about everything.

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2010 Predictions...
Dec 13, 2009 7:22AM PST

1 Mac tablet

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digital cameras that auto-upload to flickr
Dec 13, 2009 2:01PM PST

things that automatically upload to the "cloud"
like digital cams, ipods uploading audio and video, etc...

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There's something already out there....
Jan 4, 2010 1:52AM PST
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Netbooks
Dec 22, 2009 10:59PM PST

I think we will probably see a sub $250 dual core netbook.

I hope I'm right!

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(NT) I hope your right - that'd be great for me :)
Dec 23, 2009 12:18AM PST
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my thoughts
Jan 2, 2010 1:04AM PST

1) In an ironic twist, AT&T will have a class action lawsuit brought against them for their misleading cell phone ads.

2) There will, in fact, NOT be an apple tablet this year.

3)Android becomes the phone OS of choice with most handsets running them.

4) Due to the success of Netflix Streaming on the 360, Microsoft will partner with another streaming service to allow streaming of TV shows.

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#3 confirmed by NPD...
Dec 22, 2010 4:37AM PST

#3 confirmed by NPD...

NPD Confirms Android's Status as U.S. Smartphone OS Leader
http://www.dailytech.com/NPD+Confirms+Androids+Status+as+US+Smartphone+OS+Leader/article19264.htm
excerpt:
*****
Earlier this week, market research firm Canalys reported that Google's Android OS is the top player in the U.S. smartphone market. Canalys' research indicated that Android OS commands 34 percent of the market, while RIM and Apple trail behind at 32 percent and 21.7 percent respectively.

Better known NPD Group released its own Q2 2010 numbers today and they closely mirror the Canalys numbers (with the exception of it showing a steeper decline for RIM). NPD indicates that Android OS, BlackBerry OS, and iOS have market share numbers of 33 percent, 28 percent, and 22 percent respectively.
*****

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Well I suppose
Dec 22, 2010 2:42PM PST

But worldwide symbian is still leader. And in Most counties iOS is ahead of Android. Such as UK and Australia where iPhone is on every carrier.

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hmmm...smart and non-smart phones?...
Dec 22, 2010 11:14PM PST

So, I had thought the intention of the prediction was for *smartphone OS* - are you saying that worldwide Symbian is still the leader in smartphone OS or smart + non-smart phone OS? I know Nokia sells more phones most of the others combined, but I don't know about smartphone sales...

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Yes.
Dec 23, 2010 8:18AM PST

In many countries, Nokia is selling low end smartphones. While in the US cause of how te carriers price data plans, most low end customers are going to feature phones without data. Or to Blackberry Curves etc. In Australia my country for example, Nokia is way bigger than Blackberry in marketshare and reputation. And with them giving away 100MB data cap as part of the voice plan to low end Nokia's. Well Nokia pretty much has the low end of the Market and some of the high end. So basically, Blackberry only has the corporate market, and Nokia owns the consumers that in the US Blackberry goes after. iPhone and Android are also on all carriers here and the Market share figures for Australia are: iPhone 36.5%, Nokia 30.5%, Android 21%

Here's the global figured. And Nokia is so high because they're **** very well in Asia and parts of Europe.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Smartphone_share_current.png

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My predictions...
Jan 2, 2010 1:22AM PST

1) Chips in the "Great Wall of Apple Loyalty" will be seen by the mainstream...and will hurt sales...

2) A remarkable carbon nano-tube achievement will occur which allows for relatively easy use and production of said carbon nano-tubes.

3) HP will be going for Apple's jugular with some new device or partnership...

4) (way out there prediction) A reality show casting call for those that want to become a cyborg-ish (replace a finger/hand/arm or foot/ankle/leg; just be instrumented across your body) guinea pig will be announced.

5) Cyber terrorism will have a few big stories this year...at least a bit more than last year. ...and Norton and other anti-virus folks may benefit financially.

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Nixe
Dec 21, 2010 1:48PM PST

You nailed it with number 1, 3 and 5.

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I'm not sure the mainstream cares about the opinions of
Dec 23, 2010 1:14AM PST

Apple fanboys or haters. They likely see both as fanatics to avoid at parties. The complaints about iOS's closed nature and Androids fragmentation issues are inside-the-bubble tech talking points about which geeks love to speculate for sport. It's certainly fun, but geeks like us seriously overestimate the importance of such subjects to those outside the bubble.

All the mainstream people I know with iOS and Android devices (and there's a lot of them these days) are very happy with their devices. Their eyes glaze over when I mention any of these supposed deal-breaking issues. All they want is to check their email, play Angry birds, post to Facebook and email a few pictures of their kids to family and friends. And they can do all these things whether they live in Apple's supposedly fascist state or the supposedly fragmented anarchist state of Android.

So I don't predict iOS or Android's growth will be effected by any of these things. I do think iOS will gain parity with Android's growth in the US as soon as Verizon jumps in with both feet. As the worldwide mobile OS market share numbers show, this isn't about which device is better (they are both plenty good enough). Its about people being able to choose a modern smartphone on the carrier of their choice. Right now the only choice for those who want to stay on Verizon, and that is a heck of a lot of people) is Android.

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To cursedsoul: why I deleted your post.
Jan 2, 2010 7:51PM PST

1. We don't allow tagline links pointing to other sites or forums unrelated to the issue at hand.
2. When I clicked on that link, Avast warned me about a Trojan.

Two good reasons to delete your post immediately.

Kees

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Strange Bedfellows...
Jan 4, 2010 1:50AM PST

This was mentioned on BOL, but I concur: Apple and Microsoft will somehow join forces to stop the juggernaut known as Google. Exactly how and what forum remains to be seen, but it's getting serious.

Google must be stopped! Wink

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Ohh...
Jan 4, 2010 5:50AM PST

I think Apple and Google are still allies to some degree, and I see Android being more aimed at Windows Mobile and Blackberry than the iPhone. Google makes the same amount of money from the iPhone and Android, both are full of google services.

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My 2010 Predictions
Jan 7, 2010 8:09AM PST

1. This will be the year that Bluray discs finally outsell ... HD-DVDs.
2. Console games will put more and more content in downloadable format, with free or discounted codes for first time buyers (ie to make some $$ from used games).
3. Android phones will outsell the iPhone.
4. More US only internet technologies with no worldwide alternative but to pirate (Hulu, Boxee etc.)
5. 3D technology will still be a fad in theaters, but won't translate to the home.
6. New DMCA-like laws in Canada will turn virtually every citizen into a "criminal".
7. Rogers Communications will by Wind, the newest cellphone competitor, in order to keep pricing in Canada high.
8. A popular podcast or internet show will make its way onto TV.

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Last years prodictions
Dec 21, 2010 1:46PM PST

How'd you all do?
I got one dead one. Happy

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Dead on I mean
Dec 21, 2010 1:51PM PST

Damn autocorrect fail.

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I predict
Dec 22, 2010 3:20AM PST

That Shalin will regrettably make fewer posts in the forum, to the detriment of all.

OK, not fair to post after the fact, but it's still true. Sad

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regrettably true...
Dec 22, 2010 4:32AM PST

Last year was killer - hardly any than to just eat/sleep/work. Now that I'm looking for a new position, I've got some more time on my hands these days, I should post more... Not sure how long my "return tour" will be, but I'm glad to see a few familiar screennames around this place Happy

Happy Holidays Happy