news analysis The young market for so-called location-based services may have just found a shortcut to mainstream adoption.
Nokia's announcement Monday that it willillustrates the premium that both mobile handset and services providers are placing on location-based services. It could also mean that budding market will briskly move from niche service to standard feature.
"Everyone's going to have to move in that direction. You'll be missing something if you don't have (location-based services)," said analyst Jack Gold of J. Gold Associates.
Location-based services (LBS) is a phrase used to describe the combination of the mobile Web and GPS data. It's a feature that will become even more in demand as portable gadgets become ubiquitous and staying connected assumes first priority. Add-on services are also one of the most surefire ways for manufacturers to make a few extra dollars in profit margin on consumer hardware. A side effect of the appeal of LBS on omnipresent devices like cell phones is that standalone GPS devices could go the way of the PDA.
Up to now, location-based services for most people meant getting directions from one place to another. But the vast database of location data that companies like Navteq can provide to mobile service providers, ad and marketing companies, and hardware makers opens some intriguing possibilities.
Giving directions is one thing, but when your device knows where you are, a slew of services can be tailored to your specific geographic needs. You could, for example, find the closest Starbucks, the locals' favorite Thai restaurant, or the gas station with the lowest prices. You could plan for inclement weather,, compare prices while shopping for gadgets or appliances, or keep tabs on friends or family members.
That Nokia would be the one to scoop up Navteq wasn't necessarily expected, but the Chicago-based map provider has been an acquisition target since navigation device maker TomTom offered to purchase Navteq rival Tele Atlas this summer for just over $2 billion. Navteq is one of the largest providers of digital mapping services, and Google was seen as a likely suitor. The world's No. 1 handset maker stepped in instead, leaving Google and any others fairly slim pickings in terms of acquisition targets now that the two biggest LBS companies have been snatched up.
LBS will be in higher demand by a whole host of industries beyond mobile phones, namely business that sell, well, anything, Gold said. Auction sites, like eBay for example, could find location services helpful in authenticating mobile purchases from its site. And companies such as Google, Yahoo and Microsoft that are targeting advertisements will always want more specific information about consumer characteristics, preferences and locations to tailor their messages.
The technology to do this is already available, but for the most part, it is not yet linked to an individual's specific location. The availability of GPS chips in devices is the main barrier in mainstream adoption. "We're very GPS-poor from a device standpoint," especially here in the U.S., said Gold.
However, GPS chips are becoming increasingly cheaper for manufacturers to insert into their phones. Right now, GPS chips add about $10 to $15 to the cost of a phone, but over the next two to three years, it will likely only add $5 to $10 to the cost, Gold said. By then, though the inexpensive phones that carriers give away with service contracts likely still won't be GPS-enabled; 75 to 80 percent of high-end mobile devices, like Nokia's N95 and Apple's iPhone, will.
Some service providers and handset makers are already offering these types of location-based services, but they haven't yet reached the mainstream or are still a bit pricey. Sprint recently got a lot of attention for offeringto tack onto any service plan.
Helio, the service provider that sells trendy youth-oriented handsets, incorporates LBS to allow Helio owners to find friends' locations. Sprint offers a similar feature provided by LBS company Loopt. The used the same technology to allow parents.
In February, the world's biggest handset makers, Nokia and Motorola, made news by. The move showed that neither was willing to wait for mobile service providers to take initiative in introducing navigation services for their customers. Nokia introduced a navigation phone with downloadable maps, and Motorola began offering a separate GPS receiver that turned Bluetooth-enabled smart phones into navigation devices.
As more handset makers get serious about navigation services, dedicated navigation devices are likely to be upstaged. "Those (companies) are going to fade to gray over the next couple years," Gold said. "It's very similar to the PDA market. No one really wants a single-purpose device" since almost everyone carries a phone anyway.
Still, though the number of GPS-enabled phones will soon eclipse the number of personal navigation devices, it's also important not to discount the benefits of a dedicated personal navigation device, said Ross Rubin, director of industry analysis for The NPD Group. Among them: The form factor allows for larger screens and different kinds of input options. And since they're separate, standalone devices can be used while talking on the phone. "Why do people still buy iPods?" asked Rubin. "There are just advantages to standalone devices."