Matt Aslett of The 451 Group and I met in London this morning, and discussed a range of issues. One thing that came up, which Aslett discusses on his blog, was the furor over CPAL, AGPL, and other open-source licensing designed for the Internet. I heavily contributed to that furor but, looking back, it would seem that the concerns were almost completely overblown.
A year and a half later, very few open-source projects use the CPAL license, which introduced a specific form of graphical attribution for open-source projects. There was sound around it, and there was fury, but the reality is the world didn't end when the OSI blessed CPAL, neither with a bang nor with a whimper. It simply ignored the licenses, even though a few prominent open-source companies like Zimbra still use CPAL licensing.
Affero General Public License (AGPL)? Fabrizio Capobianco cheered its progress recently, and I continue to believe it has a valuable role to fill, but the reality is that it powers 181 open-source projects out of more than 180,000, according to Palamida, and most of the projects that have adopted it are no-name projects.
Despite our efforts to tweak open-source licensing to fit the realities of Web-based "distribution" of software, the world still revolves around L/GPL, BSD/Apache, and MPL. I doubt this is going to change anytime soon.
Why? Because customers don't care about this issue. Just as, they also don't care about vendors protecting their code from other vendors. They just want software that works. If freedom comes with that, all the better, but they don't fetish licenses the way open-source vendors and communities do.
License proliferation, badgeware, and all the other "big" open-source licensing debates have turned out to be somewhat hollow in retrospect. Customers are voting for open-source software, not open-source licenses. There is a difference.