I'm very grateful to Digg user BrokeBody for reminding me of just how intoxicated we were with the Linux desktop back in 2003. BrokeBody points to a fantastically funny (in retrospect) Linux.com article that quotes Siemens Business Systems on the future of the Linux desktop:
20 percent market share by 2008. The money quote? "We didn't see Linux on the desktop as a major market, but we were wrong."
Well, no. You were right! At least, your first hunch was right. The 20 percent market share number? That must have come after a few garbage bags full of cocaine.
Granted, 2008 has yet to end, but I'm betting that Linux's current standing at less than 1 percent market share on the desktop is unlikely to leap 19 points in six months. I do believe in miracles but, come on, parting the Red Sea might be a bit easier. :-)