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November 6, 2007 12:32 PM PST

Can Sun grow?

Posted by Matt Asay
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Larry Dignan over at ZDNet asks the right question about Sun: can it grow? It just closed a good quarter, but with 1% growth, there's a lot of top-line room for improvement.

So how to get there from here?

I personally believe that Sun needs a stronger software story. I don't mean the licensing behind the software - Sun's open-source strategy is the right way to challenge the incumbents (though a little SaaS wouldn't hurt, following Dave Rosenberg's disruptive business models analysis), and Sun is primarily in the challenger role in every software market in which it competes (Java being the exception, but Java also not directly bringing in much money).

It seems reasonable to assume that Sun will need another quarter or so to stabilize its cost-cutting measures, but it won't have much more than that to start to accelerate top-line growth. This likely means an acquisition, because it's hard to see Sun's current software portfolio delivering a big increase in sales.

Given the need for near-term growth, it's unlikely that acquiring an open-source middleware or applications company would do much to help it (though I do think Greenplum would be an interesting acquisition for Sun). What about Vignette (web content management), which has been preening itself to be acquired for over a year? Or even BEA?

Long term, I think open source is the answer. (No surprise there.) Short term...? It's not so clear.

Matt Asay is general manager of the Americas and vice president of business development at Alfresco, and has nearly a decade of operational experience with commercial open source and regularly speaks and publishes on open-source business strategy. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.
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Add a Comment (Log in or register) 2 comments
What Sun needs
by Waam November 6, 2007 1:33 PM PST
Sun doesn't need to buy any more parts to fill it's portfolio anymore. What Sun needs to do is become innovative again.

I would love to see a purple laptop mobile server. How about a Sun phone with built in server controls and a terminal. What Sun needs to do is take risks, and thats what I thought Jonathan Shwartz was hired to do. Right?
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Not leaders in Java
by Savio.Rodrigues November 6, 2007 8:15 PM PST
Actually, Sun is also in the 'challenger role' in Java.

Considering that IBM, BEA, Oracle and JBoss make millions off Java app servers and Sun doesn't...it's hard to argue that Sun isn't a challenger in Java.

They own the Java language, but aren't close to leaders in the Java market.
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About The Open Road

Matt Asay brings a decade of in-the-trenches open-source business and legal experience to the Open Road, with an emphasis on emerging open-source business strategies and opportunities. Matt is general manager of the Americas division and vice president of business development at Alfresco, a company that develops open-source software for content management. He is a member of the CNET Blog Network and is not an employee of CNET. Disclosure.

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